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Showing posts with the label leverage

Bitcoin price chases after $35K as BTC derivatives data signals fresh inflow

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Bitcoin options and futures data suggests the current BTC price movement could have longevity. Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action is the talk of the town this week and based on the current sentiment expressed by market participants on social media, one could almost assume that the long-awaited bull market has started.  As Bitcoin's price rallied by 16.1% between Oct. 22 and Oct. 24, bearish traders using futures contracts found themselves liquidated to the tune of $230 million. One data point that stands out is the change in Bitcoin's open interest, a metric reflecting the total number of futures contracts in play. The evidence suggests that Bitcoin shorts were taken by surprise on Oct. 22 but they were not employing excessive leverage. Bitcoin futures aggregate open interest, USD. Source: Coinglass During the rally, BTC futures open interest increased from $13.1 billion to $14 billion. This differs from August 17, when Bitcoin's price dropped by 9.2% in just 36 hours. That s...

$15.5K retest is more likely, according to Bitcoin futures and options

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Bybit launching a $100 million fund and Binance’s proof of reserves might have marked the cycle low at $15,500. Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading near $16,500 since Nov. 23, recovering from a dip to $15,500 as investors feared the imminent insolvency of Genesis Global, a cryptocurrency lending and trending company. Genesis stated on Nov. 16 that it would “temporarily suspend redemptions and new loan originations in the lending business.”  After causing initial mayhem in the markets, the firm refuted speculation of “imminent” bankruptcy on Nov. 22, although it confirmed difficulties in raising money. More importantly, Genesis’ parent company Digital Currency Group (DCG) owns Grayscale — the asset manager behind Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, which holds some 633,360 BTC. Contagion risks from the FTX-Alameda Research implosion continue to exert negative pressure on the markets, but the industry is working to improve transparency and insolvency risks. For example, on Nov. 24, crypto derivatives e...

Healthy Bitcoin rally: What does a margin lending ratio drop mean for BTC price?

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Will $30,000 BTC price hold? Bitcoin market structure remains bullish with another 10% gain on the table as sellers refrain from shorting. Bitcoin (BTC) price rallied over 10% between April 9 and April 14, marking the highest daily close in more than ten months. While some analysts may argue the move justifies a degree of decoupling from traditional markets, both the S&P 500 and gold are near their highest levels in over six months. Bitcoin price breaks $30,000 despite macro headwinds  Bitcoin’s gains and rally above $30,000 also happened while the dollar strength index (DYX), which measures the U.S. currency against a basket of foreign exchanges, reached its lowest level in 12 months. The indicator fell to 100.8 on April 14 from 104.7 one month prior as investors price d in higher odds of further liquidity injections by the Federal Reserve. Related: Bitcoin price teases $30K breakdown ahead of US CPI, FOMC minutes The latest Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting minutes, re...

Total crypto market cap falls to $840 billion, but derivatives data shows traders are neutral

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Regulatory pressure continues to limit each upside breakout, but data shows some compelling reasons for an eventual crypto market rally. The total cryptocurrency market capitalization dropped 1.5% in the past seven days to rest at $840 billion. The slightly negative movement did not break the ascending channel initiated on Nov. 12, although the overall sentiment remains bearish and year-to-date losses amount to 64%. Total crypto market cap in USD, 12-hour. Source: TradingView Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped 0.8% on the week, stabilizing near the $16,800 level at 10:00 UTC on Dec. 8 — even though it eventually broke above $17,200 later on the day. Discussions related to regulating crypto Markets pressured Markets and the FTX exchange collapse limited traders ' appetites, causing lawmakers to turn their attention to the potential impact on financial institutions and the retail investors' lack of protection. On Dec. 6, the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) said it is ...

Bitcoin bears beware! BTC holds $17K as support while the S&P 500 drops 1.5%

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BTC whales and market makers are holding their leveraged long positions, even though BTC failed to break above $17,400 on Dec. 5 Bitcoin (BTC) bulls regained some control on Nov. 30 and they were successful in keeping BTC price above $16,800 for the past 5 days. While the level is lower than traders’ desired $19,000 to $20,000 target, the 8.6% gain since the Nov. 21, $15,500 low provides enough cushioning for eventual negative price surprises. One of these instances is the United States stock market trading down 1.5% on Dec. 5 after a stronger-than-expected reading of November ISM Services fueled concerns that the U.S. Federal Reserve (FED) will continue hiking interest rates. At the September meeting, FED Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the point of keeping interest rates flat "will need to be somewhat higher." Currently, the macroeconomic headwinds remain unfavorable and this is likely to remain the case until investors have a clearer picture of the employment market...